A Study of the Relationship between Macroeconomic Indicators and Early Marriage: IRI provinces: 2011-2021

Authors

1 Associate Professor, Department of History and Sociology, Faculty of Social Science, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, Iran

2 Assistant Professor, Department of History and Sociology, Faculty of Social Science, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, Iran

3 Member of the scientific faculty of Iran Statistics Research Institute, Tehran, Iran.

10.22034/jsi.2024.2000821.1653
Abstract
Marriage under the age of 15 is called early marriage or child marriage, which is a sign of discrimination and violence against women. This phenomenon is a global problem and it is increasing in developing countries due to economic and cultural factors The paper aims at discovering the relationship between macroeconomic indicators and early marriage during .2010-2013 based on the data provided by Iran Statistical Centre. This is a "secondary analysis" based on previously collected data. The statistical population of the study are all 31 provinces of the country and the time interval between 2011 to 2021 have been studied. Excel and SPSS 25 data analysis tools and Pearson correlation coefficient and multiple linear regressions were used. Pearson's test shows that provinces with higher unemployment rate (r=0.366) and higher fertility rate (r=-0.363) had the highest rate of early marriage. Finally, the regression model indicates that the macroeconomic index variables (coefficient Gini = 0.334, unemployment rate = 0.321, changes in inflation rate = 0.297, and changes in the Gini coefficient = 0.282 have a significant effect on the rate of early marriage in all provinces respectively. As a result, it can be said that increase in the rate of inflation and unemployment as well as Gini coefficient between 2012 and 2021 are significant factors in explaining increase the proportion of marriages under 15 in all provinces of the country

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Subjects


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